At its heart, Geopolitical Futures is a forecasting company. But before we forecast, we analyze. And before we analyze, we speculate. We rarely publish... Turkey is resurging as a regional power. The ...

U.S. and India. During talks in Washington this week, U.S. President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi agreed to intensify defense cooperation. In a statement, India said the ...

In 2024, conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East and tight monetary policies contributed to a slowing global economy. Yet, global unemployment remained stable at 5 percent, its lowest level in ...

Planning negotiations. U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke by phone on Wednesday. The Kremlin said they discussed a prisoner exchange, the situation in Ukraine, the ...

Russia’s base deal. Russia has reportedly reached an agreement with Sudanese military leaders for the establishment of a Russian naval base on the Red Sea coast. The acting Sudanese foreign minister ...

Reaching out to Moscow. Abkhaz political figure Badra Gunba, who is running for president of the breakaway Georgian region, held talks in Moscow with Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak.

U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term has begun with a clear intent to reshape U.S. foreign policy. His aggressive use of tariffs against China – and the threat of tariffs against allies like ...

Chinese incentives. China approved a new plan to stabilize foreign investment in 2025 during a meeting of the State Council on Monday. Under the scheme, Beijing will fully implement its commitment to ...

The modernization of China’s military over the past few years has raised justifiable questions over whether Beijing can someday challenge the U.S.-led international order. But the answer to that ...

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan wants his country to reclaim its status as a regional power. Embodying an ideology often referred to as neo-Ottomanism, he ...

Editor’s note: Below are the compiled links to our entire 2025 annual forecast. Please follow the links for quick navigation, or download the PDF for a full ...

Iran and nukes. Top commanders of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps asked Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to lift the fatwa (or religious decree) against the country’s development of ...